Music
The Silent Majority: Unplayed Tracks and the Future of Music Streaming
2025-03-06
Music streaming services have revolutionized how we consume music, but a growing concern looms beneath the surface. According to recent data from Luminate and Deezer, millions of tracks uploaded each year remain unheard, signaling a potential crisis for the industry. This article delves into the implications of this phenomenon and explores potential solutions.
Unheard Melodies: A Growing Crisis in the Music Industry
The Expanding Universe of Music
The world of music has expanded exponentially, with an astounding 200 million tracks now available on global streaming platforms. However, this growth comes with a dark side: a significant portion of these tracks never find an audience. Deezer, a leading streaming service available in over 180 countries, reports that 78% of new uploads receive zero plays. This stark reality underscores a critical issue facing the music industry today.Despite its lesser-known status in the United States, Deezer has been a pioneer since its launch in 2007, predating Spotify. The platform processes around 150,000 new tracks daily, a figure 50% higher than Luminate's reported average of 99,000 submissions per day in 2024. The discrepancy likely arises because only certain services, including Deezer, report data on tracks with no plays. Luminate’s latest figures show that 46% of all tracks received 10 or fewer plays in 2024, highlighting a troubling trend in music consumption.An Avalanche of Content
To grasp the enormity of this challenge, consider that during the CD era of the 1980s, only about 20-30,000 recordings were released annually, equating to less than 100 per day. Today, Deezer alone receives 150,000 tracks daily, a number likely mirrored by other major digital music services. This surge in content creation is unprecedented, driven not just by human artists but also by AI-generated music, ambient tracks, and even fraudulent submissions.Deezer estimates that approximately 10% of its tracks are fully AI-generated, though this figure might be conservative given the evolving landscape of AI platforms. Additionally, ambient or noise tracks, designed for background play, have seen a rise in popularity. These factors, along with redeliveries and fraudulent entries, contribute to the overwhelming volume of unplayed music. Yet, even after accounting for these elements, at least 100,000 tracks per day—over 30 million annually—are genuine creations by human artists, a staggering increase compared to the CD era.Supply vs. Demand
The core issue lies in the imbalance between supply and demand. While the supply of music continues to skyrocket, demand remains stagnant. Luminate’s data reveals that audio streaming growth in the U.S. decelerated to 6.4% in 2024 from over 12% in previous years. Globally, growth slowed by a third, dropping to 14%. Moreover, the percentage of "catalog" music listened to has increased from 69.8% in 2021 to 73.3% in 2024, indicating a decline in interest in new releases.This shift poses significant challenges for the music industry. Major labels, independent distributors, and digital music services are grappling with the consequences of this unsustainable model. Labels face a flood of music they don’t control, while distributors struggle with low royalty payments. Digital services, like Spotify, incur costs managing rights and royalties for underplayed tracks, leading to recent changes in their royalty models.Potential Solutions on the Horizon
The industry is exploring various strategies to address these issues. Spotify is reportedly planning a Music Pro tier, which could include features like AI-powered remixes, priority concert access, and enhanced audio quality. This approach aligns with the “superfan” strategy, focusing on high-engagement artists.SoundCloud introduced the Fan-Powered Royalty scheme in 2021, rewarding artists based on user engagement rather than stream counts. Meanwhile, Deezer has taken a purist stance by purging noise tracks and penalizing AI-generated content, aiming to offer a curated listening experience.Specialty services are also emerging, catering to niche genres and specific listening needs. Platforms like Beatport for DJs, IDAGIO for classical music, and Qobuz for audiophiles provide tailored experiences that general services can’t match. These specialized platforms may hold the key to a more sustainable future for both creators and listeners.A Path Forward
As the music industry navigates this complex landscape, change is inevitable. The current model of unlimited access to all music for a monthly subscription fee has remained unchanged for over a decade. However, the rise of unplayed tracks and slowing demand signals the need for innovation. Whether through premium tiers, fan-focused models, or niche services, the industry must adapt to ensure a viable future for music creation and consumption.