According to Elon University political scientist Jason Husser, the historical evidence suggests that celebrity endorsements rarely make a significant difference. "We're in a situation where only about 5% of the North Carolina electorate can be persuaded one way or another, and that's true in the other swing states," Husser explains. "It's hard to imagine a single visit by a well-known celebrity is going to make that much of a difference."
The challenge for campaigns, Husser notes, is ensuring that potential voters don't feel ignored. In 2016, Hillary Clinton's perceived neglect of certain states contributed to her electoral defeat. "North Carolina is one of seven major competitive states this election cycle, but there's only two candidates, and they only have so much time," Husser says. "What we're seeing right now is, is that all seven states are up for grabs, and Trump and Harris themselves can't get to all of them."
This notion of campaign events as a form of entertainment rather than solely informational sessions is not a new concept. Candidates have long recognized the value of creating a sense of excitement and engagement among their supporters. By bringing in high-profile figures, they can tap into the star power and draw larger crowds, creating a more dynamic and engaging experience for attendees.
However, the question remains: does this entertainment-focused approach translate into tangible electoral gains? Husser's analysis suggests that the impact may be more limited than one might expect. "It's hard to imagine a single visit by a well-known celebrity is going to make that much of a difference," he cautions, emphasizing the need for campaigns to strike a balance between captivating their audience and effectively communicating their message.
This suggests that the vast majority of voters have already made up their minds, and the potential for celebrity endorsements to sway the undecided minority is limited. Campaigns must navigate this reality, balancing the allure of star power with the need to effectively communicate their policies and vision to the electorate.
Ultimately, the role of celebrity endorsements in political campaigns remains a complex and often debated topic. While they may generate excitement and media attention, the evidence suggests that their impact on voter behavior is relatively modest. As campaigns continue to navigate the ever-evolving landscape of political communication, the strategic use of celebrity surrogates will likely remain a topic of ongoing discussion and analysis.